Let E be the event that the randomly drawn card is a spade. Let Fi be the event that i spades nre missing from the 52-card, for i can take values 0,1,2P(E)=P(F0E)P(F0)+P(F1E)P(F1)+P(F2E)P(F2)=5013(252)(013)(239)+5012(252)(113)(139)+5011(252)(213)(039)=41